Thursday, March 05, 2009

League Size Does Matter

TNT NBA Thursday is just about to tip off, Hornets and Mavs.  It doesn't figure that there should be a great deal of fantasy impact in this one, though Josh Howard is indeed playing through his leg injury.  Instead, and with this page still morphing by the day, I thought it would be worthwhile to spew a few lines about league size.

It's interesting how just 2 teams can make such a wild difference, but when you stop to think about it, it's pretty straightforward.  Just imagine dumping 26-28 players back into the free agent pool.  Then dump chlorine in there.  To illustrate the discrepancies, I have thrown caution to the wind and listed (to the right) the current rosters in each of my two fantasy leagues.

Don't get me wrong, mainstream fantasy sports sites have their heads in the right places.  In fact, I can't think of a site I'd rather waste a half hour browsing than Rotoworld.com -- check it out NOW if you haven't been (maybe someday Rotoworld will link to me...).  Despite all their expert research and absurd calculations, they consistently fail in one regard.  While these gurus of the fantasy landscape are busy talking about how Marquis Daniels is a guy "you can start with confidence," or "Jamal Crawford's potential is the reason he MUST be started nightly," they rarely ever admit the makeup of their own team. 

That will not be the case here.  You can track my teams on any given day.  Observe the add/drops as if you were actually IN my league!  I know, not terribly exciting, but you can rest assured if I pick a player up, I truly believe in his abilities.  In fact, to extrapolate on the example in the paragraph above, Jamal Crawford (generally not a free agent, but stick with me on this one) is on my 10-team league.  In a 12-team league, he is easily good enough to deserve a spot in your lineup, but in a 10-team league, I'm not convinced.  Evaluate your team often.  Sometimes a hot bench player might be producing better than a cold starter.  As usual, I will offer advice, so feel free to comment on an article or just write me a note.  By the way, Rick Carlisle doesn't look like Jim Carrey -- he looks like Fletcher Reede.

The haps:
  • As long as SOMEONE on Denver is hurt, Chris Andersen will get 3 blocks - bank on it if you need blocks and are willing to follow the health of Nene (he legally removed his last name, but the sports networks aren't biting) Hilario, Kenyon Martin, or Carmelo Anthony.  Tonight it was Kenyon.  
  • I picked up Antonio McDyess for Nenad Krstic in my 12-team league mostly to make up a game or two that I lost because of injuries.  I don't recommend McDyess long term unless you BADLY need rebounds.
  • J.R. Smith will not play this well nightly
  • Joel Przybilla (Pros: FG%, rebounds, blocks. Cons: FT%, points, assists, Greg Oden's eventual return)
  • Chris Paul is a sorcerer.  He made, I kid you not, Sean Marks and Julian Wright look like legitimate NBA players.  If you were lucky enough to have first pick in your league, stay away from anvils for the foreseeable future.

13 comments:

Stephen said...

I badly need rebounds, I'll take Dyess. Go Stones!

Danno said...

Your boys are playing markedly better without Allen Iverson wildly firing up bricks.

Phil Perry said...

Do you know of any legitimate leagues that use techs and/or turnovers as part of the scoring system? I'm in a league now I swear I'd be dominating but the bums that made the rules included T's and TO's. So I'm getting killed for having Dwight Howard (top 3 in T's this year) and good players who handle the ball a lot and, as a result, have some big turnover numbers. I'm incredulous. Serves me right for having bummy friends I guess.

Anyway, very legit blog. Thanks for linking HYM.

Danno said...

Technicals??! That is an awfully tough pill to swallow.

A good portion of the leagues I've been in have had turnovers, since there are decent players out there that don't cough it up, but technicals is just absurd!

Alan said...

I'd like to know your thoughts on how well the Cleveland Indians will perform in '09? And before you consider a response of, "Who cares," just remember - I have the 'final word'.....

Danno said...

Alan - have we met?

Haha, but I kid.

I'm planning on throwing together a baseball predictions post in a couple weeks. Perhaps you'd like to participate in the soon-to-be scribed fan questionnaire?

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