Wednesday, September 23, 2009

Benadryl, Bad for Gambling

Hahaha, well, what can I say about yesterday? I was loopy, trying to reason my way through a series of bets, haplessly eliminating winners and foolishly playing losers, and finally coming out 1-2, which I guess could have been worse. Still, on my morning card, which I prepared BEFORE taking some medication, I had Atlanta RL, Toronto, Philly, D'backs, and Angels, which would have been a 3-2 day. Instead, I canceled the Toronto and Atlanta bets for reasons I can't remember, and floated through those other ones. Today, no meds until games are picked!

NL
Drew Sutton, Homer Bailey
- Sutton has faced Pirates starter Kevin Hart in the Minors a few times, and has gone 6-for-11 in his career against him. Bailey has been rock solid over his last 6 starts, going 3-1 with an ERA under 2; in addition, he's 2-0 against the Pirates this year with a 2.70 ERA.
Elijah Dukes - Dukes hasn't faced Billingsley this year, but in the past, he's gone 5-for-9 off the struggling righty.
Chipper Jones, Brian McCann, Adam Laroche, Martin Prado - Chipper is 3-for-5 this year off Pelfrey, 6-for-15 overall with 2 homers; McCann is 5-for-6 this year, and batting near .500 in over 20 AB against Pelfrey lifetime; Laroche is a perfect 4-for-4 lifetime, and Prado is 4-for-9 with a homer.
Jeremy Reed, Carlos Beltan - Reed is 4-for-9, and Beltran is batting .314 with 3 homers lifetime against Tim Hudson, though Hudson's done a nice job on some of the other Mets.
Chris Coghlan - Coghlan has only faced Hamels 3 times, but he's homered in 2 of those at-bats...of course, that version of Cole Hamels may now be a distant memory, so buyers beware
Mat Gamel - I'm not sure what's got into parents these days, eliminating a "t" in the name Matt, but here we are - Gamel has faced Samardzija 11 times in the Minors, and has collected 6 hits.
Kaz Matsui - Matsui has faced Smoltz his fair share from their time in the NL East, and he's batting .458 in 24 AB against him.
Tony Gwynn Jr. - 4-for-9 off Jason Marquis highlights a Padres lineup that has picked up some singles off Marquis, but rarely scores any runs.
Clint Barmes - 7-for-12 off Tim Stauffer, likely seeing one another in the Minors.
Jonathan Sanchez - Sanchez has found marked success against the Diamondbacks, going just 1-1 against them this year, but posting an ERA of 1.77 and an opponent's BA of just .164 over three starts.
Justin Upton - While the rest of the D'backs are flailing away at Sanchez's stuff, Upton has gone 6-for-15 with 2 homers and 6 RBI; maybe walk Upton?

AL
Jorge Posada, Mark Teixeira
- Scott Kazmir has been very good against the Yankees in his career, but Tex is a blistering 6-for-9 against him, and Posada is 11-for-25 with a homer.
Scott Kazmir - Figured I ought to back up my claims about Kazmir with some numbers; the former All-Star has held Robinson Cano, Derek Jeter, Nick Swisher, A-Rod and Hideki Matsui all to career averages under .200 against.
Rick Porcello - Porcello has been on a nice run late in the season, even managing a quality start in Minnesota, a place where he had been knocked around previously. Today he faces the Indians, a team he's beaten twice with a 1.80 ERA.
Vernon Wells - Playing a total in this game is a possibility, where Vernon has posted a 7-for-16 mark against Jeremy Guthrie with 2 homers and 6 RBI.
Wade Davis - The Wade Davis Tour continues, and aside from melting down under the pressures of Fenway, he has been a monster since coming to the Bigs, throwing 7 innings of 1-run ball and a complete game shutout in his other two starts. The Mariners weak offense may be hard-pressed to score in this one.
Carlos Gomez, Mike Redmond, Denard Span, Delmon Young - Gomez is 8-for-20 with 2 homers lifetime off Buerhle, and the fun doesn't stop there; Redmond, just 2-of-9 overall, is batting .432 since 2004 against Buehrle. Span is 10-for-20 with 2 homers and 5 RBI, and Young, like Gomez, is 8-for-20 too.
Carlos Quentin - The only White Sox player doing anything against the surging Duensing, Quentin is 3-for-5 off him with 2 homers.

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