Friday, September 11, 2009

Friday Fantasy Roundup

Trying to get a bit of an early start on this guy, with a busy day ahead and a crap-ton of games to look at! Also worth noting today's date, so please do take a moment to at least remember the tragedy that befell the good people of NY.

Last night's ONLY top play, the Florida Marlins, were easy winners over the hapless Mets, netting us a cool 1.25 beefy units on the slightly larger than average (by 25%) wager. I may not have been perfectly clear earlier this week -- I do NOT recommend playing my action plays unless you, like me, want to have a few plays going as the baseball season nears its end. If you're looking to GRIND out winning weeks/months/etc., follow the top plays and exercise patience!!

NL
Rich Harden
- Yes, he lost his last start to the Reds, but only because his opponent pitched a complete game shutout. Harden has held the Reds to a team BA of just .133 over 3 starts. He has struck out 25 and walked 6 in 18 innings.
Justin Lehr - He missed a start with a groin injury, so that IS INDEED a concern, but if he's healthy, he's facing a Cubs team that he blanked over 9 innings while holding to, yes, the very same .133 opposing BA.
Luis Castillo, David Wright - Castillo is 4-for-6 off Hamels this year, but was 0-for-3 against him previously, so he has to hope the "lesser" Hamels shows up once again; David Wright has good numbers against a lot of lefties, and he's 8-for-20 off Hamels in his career, with a homer, and 3-for-3 against him this year.
Pete Orr - This is pretty interesting, with Orr just moving his way onto the Nationals roster, he has been quite good against Josh Johnson in his career, posting a solid 6-for-11 overall.
The Astros, with a Chuckle - Allow me to paste an excerpt from the MLB.com writeup on Charlie Morton -- "Morton was pushed back three days in order to give his tender groin a little more time to heal." He gave up 5 runs in 4 innings against the Astros earlier this year, and only Hunter Pence went without a hit in that one.
Kelly Johnson - The Braves haven't done much against Pineiro, at least not the ones that usually start, except K-Johns, who is 6-for-12 lifetime with 2 homers and 4 RBI.
Matt Holliday - St. Louis counters with one big bopper of their own against the opposing starter, and this time it's the new guy; Holliday is 6-for-10 career off Jair Jurrjens, but like the Braves, the rest of the Cards haven't done much.
Prince Fielder, Jason Kendall - Well, you know Kendall ain't on here for his sock, but he is a solid 6-for-16 off soft-tosser Doug Davis. Fielder supplies the pop, he's 5-for-9 with a homer and 2 RBI.
Justin Upton - This one may be a bit of a stretch, but with very little experience on the D'backs against Braden Looper, Upton is 2-for-3 with a homer, which leads me to believe he sees Looper alright.
Andre Ethier, Rafael Furcal - This is the series where I think the Dodgers will be forced to rouse themselves from a second half slumber, and it better start quick with Cain on the hill; luckily for LA, Ethier is a career .567 hitter against Cain in over 30 AB, and Furcal is batting a robust .409.

AL
Melvin Mora
- Mora is about the only Oriole batter who has consistently done damage to Andy Pettitte, as he's batting .391 over the last 5 years against Pettitte with 2 homers and 6 RBI.
Andy Pettitte - Pettitte is an absurd 26-6 in his career against Baltimore, 1-0 this year, holding the Orioles to just 2 runs over 15.1 innings with 16 Ks and 2 walks.
Mike Jacobs, Zack Greinke - Jacobs has faced Justin Masterson only 4 times, but he's 3-for-4 with a bomb and 4 RBI, while Greinke's Cy Young campaign continues against the Indians, a team he has beaten twice, striking out 38 and walking 8 in 26.1 innings.
Aaron Hill, Kevin Millar - The status of Aaron Hill could make or break the Jays' chances to take a game in Detroit, as he's 9-for-17 lifetime off Nate Robertson with 2 homers, and Millar is batting .346 in over 20 AB the last 5 years.
Jason Bartlett, Evan Longoria - Bartlett is batting .435 in 23 AB against Jon Lester, and we all know about Longoria's RBI numbers against the Sox; he's 4-for-12 off Lester this year with a homer and 4 RBI.
Jason Bay, David Ortiz, Mike Lowell, J.D. Drew, Dustin Pedroia - Five Red Sox that have all hit James Shields pretty hard, especially at Fenway. Bay is 3-for-8 with a homer and 4 RBI, Papi is 8-for-21 with 2 homers, Lowell is 8-for-22, Drew is 9-for-23 with 2 dingers with 6 RBI, and Pedroia is 10-for-22 with 1 HR.
Ichiro, Franklin Gutierrez - In reverse order, Gutierrez is 2-for-6 off Millwood this year, with a homer, and 3-for-8 overall, while Ichiro is batting a robust .413 over 60+ AB in the last 5 years against Millwood.
Hank Blalock - Brandon Morrow may just want to walk Hank; he's 4-for-6 against him lifetime with 2 homers and 4 RBI
Jack Cust, Adam Kennedy, Mark Ellis - Nick Blackburn has had very little success against the A's no matter who's on the team, and here he faces Ellis and Kennedy, who are both 3-for-6 against him with a homer apiece, and Cust, who brings a 5-for-12 mark with him.
Jayson Nix, Mark Kotsay, Paul Konerko, Carlos Quentin - Nix hadn't done much against Saunders before this year, but in 2009 he's 2-for-3 with 2 homers, Kotsay is 4-for-9 against Saunders, Konerko is 4-for-10 with a homer, and Quentin is also 4-for-10, but no pop...yet.
Juan Rivera, Bobby Abreu - Both of these Angels are 5-for-14 against Gavin Floyd.

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