Tuesday, September 15, 2009

Haven't I Seen You Before?

Yesterday's lines weren't terribly impressive, but we did manage to find an easy winner with the UNDER between Cincinnati and Houston for a net gain of 1.00 unit. The "action" play on Toronto looked like a sweet +260 winner until errors led to 2 unearned Tigers runs and the Jays blew a 5-2 lead in the 9th. Not a big deal, since that play was not a TOP PLAY, but still would have been nice for the bankroll. Whatever the case, we started the new week off the right way with a winner, and now we're back with some key info today!!

NL
Atlanta bats
- As a team, the Braves are batting over .580 against Pat Misch this season, though it's over just 3 innings. One would figure it's not a fluke, and that at least a few of the Braves see Misch's pitches very, very well.
Alberto Gonzalez - We won't know until after the 3rd inning which Cliff Lee will show up, but it seems either way, Gonzalez will be alright: he's 3-for-3 off Lee this year, and 5-for-8 overall.
Raul Ibanez, Shane Victorino - The Phils have faced Garrett Mock twice now, so you start to get an idea of who can hit him, and Ibanez is a solid 3-for-5, while Victorino is 2-for-6 this year, 3-for-8 overall, and has knocked in a pair.
Hunter Pence, Lance Berkman, Roy Oswalt - Facing a resurgent Kip Wells, we'll see if Pence's 4-for-9 lifetime numbers bode well or not; Berkman has 2 homers and 10 RBI in his last 22 AB against Wells, and IF IF IF Roy Oswalt is truly healthy, he's facing a team that he has gone 23-1 against in his career. But that's a big "IF!"
Prince Fielder, Felipe Lopez - Big Z has shut down Ryan Braun, but a few other Brewers have given him trouble in the past, namely, these two. Fielder is 3-for-4 off Z this year, with a homer, and a .375 batter off him lifetime; Lopez is 2-for-4 this year, and a .382 lifetime hitter off him.
Micah Hoffpauir - One would hope Piniella would give the kid a chance against Gallardo, as he's 3-for-6 off Yovani with a homer and 2 RBI. A few other Cubs have faced Gallardo 2 to 4 times and have picked up a couple hits, but it's not a large enough sample size to draw conclusions.
Jeremy Hermida - Adam Wainwright's arch nemesis, one might think, given Hermida's 3-for-4 (with a homer) off him this year, and 5-for-12 overall.
Brandon Allen, Trent Oeltjen - Some new names on the Roundup, and it's because these two fellows saw Wade LeBlanc in the Minors: Allen is 2-for-3 with 2 homers and 4 RBI, while Oeltjen is a solid 5-for-9, though it's unclear who will start, if either.
Nick Hundley, Kevin Kouzmanoff - Dan Haren has just a 2.77 ERA against the Padres this year, but Hundley is 5-for-12 against him in his career, and Kouz has homered twice in 22 AB
Andre Ethier, Orlando Hudson, Matt Kemp, Russ Martin - The Dodgers have absolutely teed off on Zach Duke in his few appearances against them, with Ethier 5-for-11 with 5 RBI, Hudson 4-for-10 with 2 RBI, Kemp 5-for-9, and Martin 5-for-10 with a homer and 4 RBI.
Barry Zito - Zito has been a little off in his last 2 starts, but has just dominated the Rockies in his career, and you know he'll bring his A-game for this one: he has allowed just 1 run to Colorado in over 20 innings this year spanning 3 starts, and has held the Rockies potent bats to a team average of just .181. Clint Barmes is batting .158 against Zito, Hawpe .190, Tulo .154, Torrealba .100, Iannetta .100 and Fowler .143.
Ubaldo Jimenez - Not quite as absurd as Zito's numbers, but Ubaldo is a bonafide ace, and after giving his sore hammy some extra time to heal, he takes aim at the Giants, a team he's faced a handful of times this year, has an ERA of 2.48 against, while holding all Giants regulars other than Pablo Sandoval to career averages against him of .250 or lower.

AL
Willie Bloomquist
- Willie is a solid 7-for-17 off Jarrod Washburn, who has been battling a sore knee and isn't likely to make too many quality pitches.
B.J. Upton, Gabe Gross, Pat Burrell - All 3 of these Rays have faced Jason Berken 3 times, and all 3 have homered. Upton is a perfect 3-for-3 with 2 RBI, while Gross and Burrell are both 2-for-3, with a combined 3 RBI.
Brian Roberts, Matt Wieters, Ty Wigginton - Jeff Niemann has been hit very hard at Camden Yards, and these three O's are responsible for most of the damage: Roberts is 4-for-9 against Niemann this year with a homer, Wieters is 2-for-2 since his call-up against Niemann, and Wigginton is 3-for-6 with a home run, as well.
Joe Inglett, Lyle Overbay, Vernon Wells, Roy Halladay - There's a lot to like about the Jays tonight, with Inglett's and Overbay's 4-for-6 career marks against Sergio Mitre, Vernon Wells' 4-for-8 2009 numbers, and, of course, Doc's long term success against the Yankees. He has gone 34 innings in 4 starts against them this season, has held the juggernauts to a team batting average of just .203, has posted 22 K's to just 6 BB's, and is coming off a complete game shutout of NY the last time he faced 'em.
Johnny Damon - The one bat that has given Halladay a tough time, Damon is 5-for-14 off Hallday this year with 2 homers and has consistently hit him in the mid-.350's throughout his career.
Victor Martinez, David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia - John Lackey has been downright bad against the BoSox in his career, and with the addition of Victor Martinez's career .476 average against Lackey, things may only get worse. Big Papi is 7-for-21 with 2 homers and 8 RBI against Lackey since 2004, while Pedroia is 5-for-12.
Jack Cust, Kurt Suzuki - The A's are Brandon McCarthy's most hated opponent, with his career 8.15 ERA against them, and Cust's .500 average combined with Suzuki's 3-for-6 this year lead the charge.
The Twins - This isn't the first time we've had to list all the Twinkies that have bashed Fausto Carmona...deep breath...Brian Buscher (4-for-11, HR, 5RBI), Orlando Cabrera (2-for-2 this year), Brendan Harris (2-for-4), Jason Kubel (.385, 2HR, 9RBI), Joe Mauer (.309), Jose Morales (2-for-3, RBI), Delmon Young (3-for-8, 2RBI), Scott Baker (4-0 against the Indians this year, 0.93 ERA, .139 BAA, 23 K, 6 BB).
Ichiro Suzuki, Mike Sweeney - Freddy Garcia has a poor history with the Mariners, though a lot of those names have moved on...not Ichiro, though, who is 8-for-19 with a homer off Garcia; transplant Mike Sweeney is 9-for-21 with 2 homers and 7 RBI.

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