Thursday, September 03, 2009

Mmm Bop

The key component to tonight's card? Tommy Hanson.

I'll just say it, yesterday was sweet. If not for a mostly unprecedented Joe Nathan meltdown, Wednesday could have been a perfect 6-0. Instead, we collected a sweet 5-1 record, winning our 1.25 unit bet, our 2 1-unit bets, a 3/4-unit wager and our half-unit flier on Tampa. Minnesota was just a 3/4-unit bet, given that sweeping anyone in this League ain't easy, and we consider ourselves both lucky and with good foresight in making the wager a small one.

For Thursday, we have some afternoon contests, but only 10 games total, so we'll try our best to locate some good choices.

NL and One Interleague Game
Ryan Ludwick & Brendan Ryan
- Ludwick is batting .313 off Manny Parra, which isn't all that impressive, but he's homered twice in 16 career AB. Brendan Ryan is 4-for-9. Still, Parra has actually pitched well against the Cards this year...?
David Wright - David Wright, ripe off the DL with his clown helmet, has hit .370 off Jason Marquis over the last few years with 2 homers and 6 RBI in 27 AB.
Randy Winn & Tim Lincecum - Winn has posted 6 hits in 9 AB off Pedro Martinez with 4 RBI, but of course that means his teammates need to get on base, which can often be an issue for the Giants. Lincecum is already 1-0 against Philly this year, throwing 8 shutout innings at home. He is throwing on 5-days' rest, after which Lincecum is 10-2 in his career. Additionally, Jimmy Rollins, Carlos Ruiz and Chase Utley all have career averages against Timmy of .167 or lower.
Matt Diaz, Yunel Escobar, Chipper Jones & Brian McCann - We'll start with the weakest numbers of the four, with McCann 9-for-30 off Ricky Nolasco with 3 homers and 10 RBI; Chipper Jones is a profound 10-for-20 with FOUR homers and 7 driven in; Escobar is 8-for-16, another .500 average, with 1 homer and 3 RBI, and the white hot Matt Diaz is 6-for-11 off Nolasco, including 3-for-3 this year.
Casey Blake - Blake is a solid 5-for-8 off Billy Buckner, who gets the call to start with Jon Garland switching teams.
Jermaine Dye & A.J. Pierzynski - Dye is 5-for-12 off Ryan Dempster, who has not pitched well against the Sox; Pierzynski is 5-for-13 with a homer and 6 RBI.

Grady Sizemore, Jhonny Peralta & Kelly Shoppach
- Sizemore has faced Nate Robertson plenty, and is batting .406 in over 30 faceoffs. Peralta is up to .429 in 28 AB, and Kelly Shoppach is 5-for-9, though the three have combined for just 1 homer.
Clete Thomas, Miguel Cabrera, Curtis Granderson & Aubrey Huff - Granderson has had the most success against Fausto Carmona among the 4 listed with a .448 average in 29 AB. Thomas is 5-for-13, while Cabrera and Huff both have averages against Carmona in the low 300's, but each has homered twice.
Ken Griffey Jr. & Adrian Beltre - Griffey is 5-for-13 off A's starter Brett Tomko with a homer, while Beltre is an even more robust 8-for-18 with a homer and 3 RBI.

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