Saturday, April 03, 2010

Weekend Short Blog #6 (Hot)

I really feel like I was extremely conservative in raising the temperatures of the blog, but after winning in 6 of 7 days this week, I think it's fair to say that we are officially "hot."

The Milwaukee Bucks cruised to an easy winner over the Suns despite Amare Stoudemire's vicious attack on Andrew Bogut. It was a sad day for Bucks fans, but a good day for us.

It's a short day of blogging, so let's just get right down to work.

Sports Wagering

Cavaliers @ Celtics - This line is OFF. Well the Celtics ever wake up? The Cavs are simply the better team, but I'm not sure Boston doesn't feel like they have something to prove. Depending on the line, lean to Celtics. These teams have played quicker tempo games than people realize this year, playing to 3 straight overs - will this one go over, too? Boston's bad defense makes me think so. Lean Over.

Spurs @ Lakers - Lakers by 6 with a total of 194.5. Lakers dominated the Spurs on the road, stunk the rest of the trip, clobbered Utah, and now the Spurs get a rematch. Something tells me to be very careful in this one, as the Spurs were laying 2, now getting 6? Either that first line was screwball, or this one is. Lean to Spurs. These teams have played to 3 straight Unders this year, never breaking 190. Something doesn't add up here, either - lean to the Over.

Grizzlies @ Magic - Orlando by 10.5 with a total of 204. I don't like this side - I just don't know how much Memphis cares to play it out on the road. No lean on the side. The total of 204 is hugely reliant on how the Magic decide to play this one. I happen to think it's a bit of a coin-flip, but I lean just slightly to the Under. I'd be careful with anything in this game, though.

Rockets @ Pacers - This line is OFF. The Rockets off a win in Boston, the Pacers off an OT loss at home to the Heat. Two teams playing for nothing, I like Indiana to get it done at home -- lean to the Pacers. I like the Pacers recent defensive play, but the Rockets are all about scoring. This total is tough, so let's see where it comes out to know where the value's at.

Warriors @ Raptors - This line is OFF. Warriors always play hard, but Toronto needs these games, and Golden State has some games against wimpy competition coming up after this one. I'd avoid this game, or maybe offer the teeniest, tiniest lean to the Raptors. This total is going to be awfully high, but I have to think Toronto wants to slow it down, and the Warriors might not give all 100% - slight lean to the Under.

Nets @ Wizards - Washington by 3.5 with a total of 191. Washington has won all 3 games this year, but both these teams are basically done. The side is not a good value in this game, though I'd lean Washington, since these bad teams that have given up play horribly on the road. The totals of the last two meetings have been very, very low - this game might stay low, too. Lean to the Under.

Timberwolves @ Thunder - Oklahoma City by 12 with a total of 208. This one, in my opinion, has about a 50/50 shot of being a 30-point blowout, or way too close for comfort. Letdown spot for Thunder? Maybe, but they're just rolling. No lean on the side. The Thunder are scoring like crazy, and I think this one might draw a ton of money on the over. Beware the simple choice. No lean on the total...yet.

Knicks @ Clippers - This line is OFF. Clippers coming home off a valiant effort in Denver. They've been bad on back-to-back, but the Knicks are on the last game of a road trip. Bad situationals all around. Tiny lean to Clippers. Clippers play no defense when tired, but also can't seem to score. Slight lean to the Under.

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